Early warning mechanisms for global crises in non-governmental organisations

2022, 2022, No. 3


Publication date

29.12.2022

Publishing model

open access

License type


Field

Social sciences

Discipline

economics and finance, communication and media studies, political science and public administration, management and quality studies, law, sociology, international relations

Language of publication

Polish, English

Downloads

PDF 170 KB

Article

Number of views:193

Number of downloads:31

Crossref citations:0

Altmetric score:0

View downloads map

Abstract

The aim of this article is to analyse the use of the early warning mechanism in non-governmental organisations on the example of the International Crisis Group, which is a leading entity in respect of that matter. For the purposes of the study, the author verifies the hypothesis that the mechanisms developed in the International Crisis Group are effective, and the forecasts are useful for the needs of decision-makers. It is supported by the fact that non-governmental organisations shape desired attitudes and decisions taken by the international community regarding the prevention and resolution of conflicts. Several questions were posed in this research: (1) what is the nature of early warning mechanisms? (2) what distinguishes early warning systems in international organizations? (3) what is the effectiveness of early warning mechanisms? (4) how is the International Crisis Group's early warning mechanism used? The case study method was used to verify the research hypothesis, while the main technique is the analysis of the state of the scholar literature and the content of appropriate documents.

Keywords:

Bibliography

AUSTIN Alexander (2003), Early Warning and the Field and the Cargo Cult Science?, Berlin.

BARTON Rick, Von HIPPEL Karin, SEQUIERA Sabina, IRVINE Mark (2008), Early Warning? A Review of Conflict Prediction Models and Systems, Washington.

BLIESEMANN DE GUEVARA Berit (2014), Studying the International Crisis Group, “Third World Quarterly”, vol. 35, issue 4. DOI: 10.1080/01436597.2014.924060

GRIGAT Sonja (2014), Educating into liberal peace: the International Crisis Group's contribution to an emerging global governmentality, “Third World Quarterly”, vol. 35, issue 4. DOI: 10.1080/01436597.2014.924061

INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP (2013), Annual Report 2013, https://icg-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/annual-report-2013.pdf (10.10.2013).

INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP (2019), Strategic Framework 2019-2024, https://icg-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/Strategic%20Framework%202019-2024-web%20(1).pdf (30.04.2019).

JOSEPH Troy, CARMENT David (2000), Country Indicators for Foreign Policy. Early Warning Methods, Background Report and Methodological Notes, Carleton University, Ottawa.

MATVEEVA Anna (2006), Early Warning and Early Response: Conceptual and Empirical Dilemmas, Amsterdam.

NYHEIM David (2014), Towards a global network of crisis rooms, in: P. Pawlak, A. Ricci (eds), Crisis rooms: towards a global network?, Paris.

NYHEIM David (2015), Early Warning and Response to Violent Conflict. Time for a Rethinking?, London.

TRUBALSKA Justyna (2018), Concepts and dilemmas of early warning, in: H. Świeboda (ed.), Forecasting in social sciences. The national and international dimension, Warsaw.

Similar publications